Granger Causality Networks for Categorical Time Series

author: Alex Tank, Department of Statistics, University of Washington
published: Oct. 12, 2016,   recorded: August 2016,   views: 1379
Categories

Related content

Report a problem or upload files

If you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.
Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.
Lecture popularity: You need to login to cast your vote.
  Delicious Bibliography

Description

We present two model-based methods for learning Granger causality networks for multivariate categorical time series. Our first proposal is based on the mixture transition distribution (MTD) model. Traditionally, MTD is plagued by a nonconvex objective, non-identifiability, and presence of many local optima. To circumvent these problems, we recast inference in the MTD as a convex problem. The new formulation facilitates the application of MTD to high-dimensional multivariate time series. Our second proposal is based on a multi-output logistic autoregressive model, which while a straightforward extension, has not been previously applied to the analysis of multivariate categorial time series. We investigate identifiability conditions of both methods, devise novel optimization algorithms for the MTD, and compare the MTD and mLTD in simulated experiments. Our approach simultaneously provides a comparison of methods for network inference in categorical time series and opens the door to modern, regularized inference in MTD model.

Link this page

Would you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?
Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !

Write your own review or comment:

make sure you have javascript enabled or clear this field: