Introduction To Bayesian Inference

author: Christopher Bishop, Microsoft Research
published: Nov. 2, 2009,   recorded: August 2009,   views: 369513
Categories

Slides

Related content

Report a problem or upload files

If you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.
Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.
Lecture popularity: You need to login to cast your vote.
  Delicious Bibliography

 Watch videos:   (click on thumbnail to launch)

Watch Part 1
Part 1 1:17:02
!NOW PLAYING
Watch Part 2
Part 2 1:34:01
!NOW PLAYING

See Also:

Download slides icon Download slides: mlss09uk_bishop_ibi_01.pdf (2.8 MB)


Help icon Streaming Video Help

Link this page

Would you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?
Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !

Reviews and comments:

Comment1 Roger Orobi, November 17, 2009 at 6:58 p.m.:

I liked the slides on binary variable - distribution of placeba/Treated relationship of drugs. The question is: how can it be further studied and quantified to be made a standard measure to treat patients?


Comment2 murugan manoj, January 23, 2010 at 8:08 a.m.:

this is really good 4 me....


Comment3 Ian, September 2, 2010 at 3:51 a.m.:

Ummm.. I must be missing something. If you know how many apples and oranges there are in each box, can't you just calculate the probability based on the relative number of apples and oranges? Aren't you just three times more likely to have gotten the orange from the red box? Why have a supposition at all? If the supposition is 1/5 then the result is .43, i.e., less likely to have come from the red box, which goes against what we would expect given the relative number of oranges in that box!


Comment4 Benny, February 7, 2011 at 12:17 p.m.:

Chris Bishop is a fantastic author and scientist. His book: Pattern Recognition and Machine Learning is the definitive text, but this lecture is, I am sorry to say, disappointing given who is giving it.

I think one should avoid statements like "I'm sure that's all clear, but any questions ?", and saying things like: given the quality of the applicants there is no need to go through proofs of simple stuff like Baye's theorem is there ? It puts people off interacting. Prof Bishop says himself that questions are important, but if you imply that the stuff is easy, with what you say and how you say it, you make people scared of showing themselves up.

Baye's theorem is not easy, simple concepts in probability can trip up the smartest of people and it is through discussions and example that one gains an intuitive insight.


Comment5 Chris, November 3, 2011 at 11:19 p.m.:

While an interesting talk, there are some historical notes that are not quite accurate. A lot more work was done in the 1980's than mentioned here.

But first let me explain we have to take into the account the political and cold war status that existed at the time. The being the existence and proliferation of nuclear weapons. Often in job interviews, one was at that time asked if you had moral objections in working in this field.

Further to that the technology actually was very advanced, in some ways it was perfect for message passing, because there existed the cpu called the transputer. That was a cpu that was a hybrid designed to do just that, pass messages at extremely high speed. With the significant benefit of be able to connect extra cpu's with great ease and allowing very large arrays of them to be build, only further enhancing the capabilities.

So why is this progress not seen today? Simply put there was a phrase that maybe was stuck in our minds more than today's culture, that being a quote from Oppenheimer, "I have become the destroyer of worlds".

With the military extremely interested in this technology applications, a lot of people just left the field altogether.

I posted this because yes, the technology is exciting, yes the potential is great, but the moral issues today are just as valid as the ones in the past, in fact with financial markets using this technology the risk in terms of damage has just shifted, and we can see what that has caused just recently.

So do think about what the consequences of what your work will cause, before you do it, not like Oppenheimer who only saw the consequences after Hiroshima was obliterated.


Comment6 Doug, February 27, 2013 at 9:22 p.m.:

At 5:37 he asks what the probability is that the box is blue, given the fruit is an orange, but at 7:54 he solves the probability that the box is red (answer 2/3).
So to answer the question at 5:37, p(blue|orange) the answer is 1-2/3= 1/3.


Comment7 ajitb, June 15, 2013 at 6:27 a.m.:

How is P(B=r)= 2/5? Should it not be 8/12 since the red box contains 8 out of the total 12 fruits? And how can it be "suppose"?


Comment8 Naveenchandra Kumar, September 15, 2014 at 9:45 a.m.:

It was like listening to "God of machine learning" for me. Bishop is an Excellent teacher.


Comment9 Anton, March 29, 2015 at 9:08 p.m.:

Excellent series, thank you very much for posting it.

Where can I find slides for the second part of the lecture?


Comment10 krishna D N, April 14, 2016 at 2:37 p.m.:

when it comes to summer school lectures, He is my favourite...


Comment11 george, June 13, 2016 at 5:27 p.m.:

Hey, is part 1 broken or sth? It never streams the video, only the slides.


Comment12 Hanna Monica, January 6, 2020 at 4:19 p.m.:

Have you launched 2nd edition of Bayesian Inference because I seen this edition if you will share new one so I will manage my time to give time on that edition. Because I am working at a dealer shop which offering http://forkeq.com/rent/ forklift los angeles at very discounted price.If any person has Bayesian Inference new editon so please share it.


Comment13 chaturbate token, February 11, 2020 at 8:25 a.m.:

Chaturbate currency hack is for real. You need not pay from your wallet or sign up for subscriptions to obtain free tokens. They are completely free for all.


Comment14 Michael, February 11, 2020 at 8:26 a.m.:

Chaturbate currency hack is for real. You need not pay from your wallet or sign up for subscriptions to obtain free tokens. They are completely free for all.
visit this site to genrate free chaturbate:- https://chaturbatetokencurrencyhack.us/


Comment15 Michael, February 11, 2020 at 8:27 a.m.:

with the help of free coin master you will get a free spin and in spin you can win many coins and you can use those coins in your game.
visit this site fee spin:-https://coinmasterfreespins.co/


Comment16 Michael, February 11, 2020 at 8:28 a.m.:

with the help of free coin master you will get a free spin and in spin you can win many coins and you can use those coins in your game.
visit this site fee spin:
https://coinmasterfreespins.co/


Comment17 Wayne Dietz, June 7, 2020 at 9:58 p.m.:

Animation Dok is the name of the solution for all your video animation requirements and needs. https://www.animationdok.com/


Comment18 M Jacket, July 8, 2020 at 5:47 p.m.:

Have a look at our site for a fantastic coat that will help you to find it your favorite coat from MJacket. We also have an exclusive Women leather vest that will spice you up in your outfit. We cover vast varieties of the leather outfit. https://www.mjacket.com/


Comment19 Raymond Miller, July 24, 2020 at 1:36 p.m.:

At Impexlog Inc., we care about our clients and make sure that you receive what you desired. https://impexloginc.com/ We care about your needs and make sure that you, too, receive high-quality products at the platform.


Comment20 Susan Penson, November 6, 2020 at 12:19 p.m.:

Spouts: The Whale Who Saved Christmas is a highly engaging children’s book written by Captain Philip Howe. https://eden-bancrofts.com/ The book is based on the captain’s real-life experience and voyages across the Pacific Ocean.


Comment21 Monika Jacob, November 24, 2020 at 5:06 a.m.:

I have learned from you to examine different facts better and more accurately for which I am very grateful. Thanks for this great introductory post. https://www.catchafire.org/organizati...


Comment22 Matias, January 12, 2021 at 8:07 p.m.:

Theres is a way to see this now that adobe flash end?


Comment23 Killua Zoldyk, February 8, 2021 at 4:23 p.m.:

You have shared a piece of valuable information here. Thank you.
https://llcformations.com/


Comment24 RantEnt, April 28, 2021 at 11:33 p.m.:

wow nice website https://rantent.com


Comment25 VPN Junkie, April 30, 2021 at 7:21 p.m.:

Thanks for sharing content and the stuff.


Comment26 VPN Junkie, April 30, 2021 at 7:22 p.m.:

Thanks for sharing content and the stuff. https://vpnjunkie.com/


Comment27 Georgia Miller, June 8, 2021 at 2:04 p.m.:

Learned something new today because of this video lecture! Thanks for sharing.


Comment28 Brando leather Jacket, July 14, 2021 at 1:27 p.m.:

Our stylish attires are all you need to have this season to make your style game strong like your favorite stars. Get high quality jackets and coats manufactured under the supervision of best industry experts at Brando leather Jacket.
https://www.hiltonsky.com/product/bra...


Comment29 Black Widow Outfits, July 28, 2021 at 1:19 p.m.:

We deliver the best quality products at affordable prices, worldwide. We bring your favorite attires at your doorstep to give you the perfect superstar look! Black Widow Outfits provides high-quality jackets, coats, vests, and a lot more for everyone.


Comment30 mshahid, August 19, 2021 at 10:37 a.m.:

Hello there to everyone, here everybody is sharing such learning, so it's critical to see this website, and I used to visit this blog day by day selling your home https://5eba5cceb8015.site123.me/prem...


Comment31 the jacketzone, November 11, 2021 at 11:19 p.m.:

Great Information. Thanks for share.

Write your own review or comment:

make sure you have javascript enabled or clear this field: