A Graph-based prediction model with applications
Slides
Related content
Report a problem or upload files
If you have found a problem with this lecture or would like to send us extra material, articles, exercises, etc., please use our ticket system to describe your request and upload the data.Enter your e-mail into the 'Cc' field, and we will keep you updated with your request's status.
Description
We present a new model for probabilistic forecasting using graph-based rating method. We provide a \forward-looking" type graph-based approach and apply it to predict football game outcomes by simply using the historical game results data of the investigated competition. The assumption of our model is that the rating of the teams after a game day correctly reflects the actual relative performance of them. We consider that the smaller the changing of the rating vector {contains the ratings of each team { after a certain outcome in an upcoming single game, the higher the probability of that outcome. Performing experiments on European foot- ball championships data, we can observe that the model performs well in general and outperforms some of the advanced versions of the widely-used Bradley-Terry model in many cases in terms of predictive accuracy. Although the application we present here is special, we note that our method can be applied to forecast general graph processes.
Link this page
Would you like to put a link to this lecture on your homepage?Go ahead! Copy the HTML snippet !
Reviews and comments:
[url]https://unsplash.com/@maxpaine[/url]
<a href="https://unsplash.com/@maxpaine">https://unsplash.com/@maxpaine</a>
[https://unsplash.com/@maxpaine](https...
https://unsplash.com/@maxpaine
Write your own review or comment: